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Scott Walker Intrade Updates

Races for the Senate, U.S. House, etc. and other issues of national importance.

Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 17, 2012 9:16 pm

64.6%

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17, 2012
1:06 PM
Presidential, Senate races about even in latest Marquette poll
The latest Marquette University Law School poll had the presidential and Senate races in Wisconsin essentially tied, a tightening in both races from the last survey two weeks ago.

The poll found 49 percent of respondents backed President Obama, compared to 48 percent who supported Mitt Romney. Charles Franklin, the poll’s director, said the two were separated by fractions of a point and the 1 percentage point difference was due to rounding.

Two weeks ago, the poll had Obama up 53-42.

In the Senate race, Tommy Thompson was backed by 46 percent of respondents, while 45 percent supported Tammy Baldwin. Franklin said like with the presidential race, the difference between the Senate contenders was a fraction of a point.

In the last Marquette poll, Baldwin led by 4 percentage points.

In both of the races, Franklin attributed the tightening to a shift with independents.

Independents went from backing Obama 49-40 in the last poll to a 49-45 Romney edge in the new survey.

In the Senate race, they went from a 43-43 split to a 44-41 advantage for Thompson.

For both races, there was also a shift in the gender gap.

Two weeks ago, Obama had a 61-36 advantage with women, but it’s now down to a margin of 4 percentage points.

Two weeks ago, Thompson led 50-41 among men with his lead now 47-43. Baldwin led among women 54-38, but it’s now down to 47-44.


The survey was conducted Oct. 11-14, coming out of the field before last night’s presidential debate. It went into the field the same day as the only vice presidential debate of the campaign.

Franklin said the first presidential debate had an impact on the results. Of those who watched the first presidential debate, Romney led 50-48. Those that did not watch it favored Obama 50-42 with about three-fourths of the likely voters surveyed saying they watched the debate.

The survey of 870 likely voters had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. Cell phone users made up about 30 percent of the sample.

Franklin said 31 percent of respondents identified themselves as Dems, a drop of 3 percentage points from the last survey. Twenty-eight percent said they were Republicans, unchanged from the previous poll.

-- By JR Ross
http://elections.wispolitics.com/2012/1 ... en-in.html
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby bdog » Wed Oct 17, 2012 9:19 pm

Meade you've lost it.

You must keep it clean like the google home page.

Or people will lose interest.

How was your day?
bdog
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 17, 2012 9:50 pm

Super, bdog. And yours?

65.0%
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby bdog » Wed Oct 17, 2012 9:57 pm

Just ok.

I feel bad that a Hulsey staffer had to talk to Harriet Nyborg for over an hour before realizing she was just lonely (her husband Bruce had recently passed away).

I'm just an asshole.

Help me Obi-Meade, you're my last hope.
bdog
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 17, 2012 10:22 pm

heh. Just wear one of those pink breast cancer ribbons, buddy, and everyone will think, yeah, he's an asshole but look - he cares.

Hey, are we really voting for Dedering? I will if you will. I just don't want to cancel each other out. So what do you say? - rock the Ded vote?

64.6%

There. That should give you happy dreams.
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby bdog » Wed Oct 17, 2012 10:27 pm

Yes, I am rocking the Dedering vote.

And if he wins....I will post his phone number here, as long as it is available on the google first.

I am such an asshole.
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Thu Oct 18, 2012 8:21 am

Yes, but you care.

64.7%
Meade
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Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 6:26 pm

Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Thu Oct 18, 2012 12:36 pm

63.2%

Given this dynamic, the Obama campaign is probably right that it would lose more than it would gain by specifying a growth plan. But that doesn’t make sustainable growth any less necessary—a reality that Obama will have to confront if he is re-elected. Either he figures out a way to ignite growth and keep it going or his second term could be very difficult indeed. What should concern Democrats even more is that, with continued stagnation, Obama’s coalition is highly likely to erode significantly, starting with his small but critically important share of the white working vote and spreading inwards to his core constituencies of minorities, Millennials, single women, and educated professionals. What could have been a long-lasting shift in favor of Democrats might end up a mere blip.
- Ruy Teixeira http://www.tnr.com/blog/plank/108613/th ... till-alive—-how-long#
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Fri Oct 19, 2012 11:59 am

61.3%
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Fri Oct 19, 2012 4:36 pm

60.7%
Meade
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Posts: 3341
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Sat Oct 20, 2012 3:48 pm

Meade wrote:
Thu Oct 11, 2012 7:58 pm

61.1%

by Stu Levitan » Fri Oct 12, 2012 12:49 am

Bet it starts going up in a day or two.



61.1%


61.1%
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Sun Oct 21, 2012 11:56 am

61.1%
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Mon Oct 22, 2012 7:33 am

61.3%

Barack Obama to win the third Presidential debate (according to CNN poll): 68.5%
Meade
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Mon Oct 22, 2012 8:00 am

61.1%
Meade
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Posts: 3341
Joined: Fri Apr 23, 2010 6:26 pm

Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Mon Oct 22, 2012 11:02 am

60.4%
Meade
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