kurt_w wrote:I'm curious to hear people's predictions about the outcome of this race. From what I can tell, Tammy's been doing better than I expected. Are there any more debates, or was this one the last?
I wrote Tammy off from the get-go, so I guess I'm the naysayer in the bunch. It's not so much that I thought Tommy was strong and Tammy was weak as I thought that the case against Tammy was kind of a canned campaign. Liberal lesbian lawyer from Madison vs. Harley ridin' Packer fan from small town Wisconsin. She couldn't possibly win that, could she?
Well, it turns out she could. I think her strategy of painting Tommy as an out of touch Washington insider who went to work as a lobbyist for the very companies he oversaw during the Bush Administration had some real legs. I think that theme really resonated with voters, more so than I would have guessed. If you asked Tammy a question about farm subsidies, she'd likely reply that Tommy cut a sweetheart deal with drug companies. Of course, Tommy's been pretty much a one-trick pony in this race as well. If you watched the debate, you know that Tammy's just an out-of-touch liberal who positively loves raising taxes.
Meh, the whole thing is pretty predictable and I thought they both seemed stumbly, but Tammy definitely came off as more mature and Tommy came off as more aggressive. How that impacts voters is for the polls to decide.
My prediction? Tammy has the reins, and the fact that Wisconsin seems to have faded as a legitimate battleground has been to her benefit. SuperPACS have poured some money into Tommy's effort, but the Romney campaign needs to focus on more realistic and valuable battlegrounds like Florida and Ohio. I don't think they've written off Wisconsin, but they've perhaps de-prioritized it a bit.