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Scott Walker Intrade Updates

Races for the Senate, U.S. House, etc. and other issues of national importance.

Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Tue Oct 23, 2012 9:05 pm

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 7:12 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Stu Levitan » Wed Oct 24, 2012 7:20 am

Larry, I know I shouldn't get between you and your obsessions, but you are aware, aren't you, that speculators try and game the system? That Romneybots have been putting down tens of thousands of dollars trying to move the so-called market? Exactly what information or insight do you think Intrade provides?
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 7:44 am

Stu, do you have evidence of speculators "gaming the system"? Or just hearsay and your worried imagination?
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 7:47 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 8:15 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Slick Willy » Wed Oct 24, 2012 9:33 am

How to swing the prediction markets and boost Mitt Romney’s fortunes
"Prediction market" isn't quite an accurate term for Intrade. I put no more weight into it than I do broad poll speculations such as Huffington Post or Real Clear Politics, which take into account both national and statewide polls. Last night Intrade had Romney ahead in Ohio 60% to 40%, which wasn't accurate at all, not even for Gallup or Rasmussen, which are the polls that have Romney ahead by the largest margins. The number for Ohio is more accurate this morning, but it's obvious to me now that the numbers can be manipulated.
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby christopher_robin » Wed Oct 24, 2012 9:41 am

The volume trading on Intrade for President is less than $100K a day. Sheldon Adelson could set the price with his pocket change ... It's all just more evidence that Meade is depressingly dim-witted.

He's not even smart enough to write a bot. Instead he's actually copying and pasting digits!

Re-posting results from a meaningless data pool with obsessive persistence, by hand: I can scarcely imagine a bigger waste of time.
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 9:54 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:02 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Slick Willy » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:04 am


Do you think it's more likely that money would be spent to manipulate the Intrade market back in April, when OJ made that post, or now? Even the forums at Intrade have had much discussion lately of political market manipulators with two threads dedicated solely to this topic.
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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:13 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 10:23 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Meade » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:29 am

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Re: President OBAMA'S Intrade

Postby Mean Scenester » Wed Oct 24, 2012 11:34 am

Somewhere there's a Wal-Mart just begging for an over-the-hill greeter.
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